ASX 200·· All Ords·· Small Ords·· Resources··
Financial Trends Australia NST ASX · Materials LastA$19.93 JDS 87.7 A360 64.0
Materials ASX: NST Australia LIVE

Northern Star Resources Ltd

PriceA$19.93
Mkt capA$27.52bn
1Y return+29.0%
P / E17.1x
Div yield2.76%
52-week range
A$15.30A$31.96
Jones Dynamic ScoreVery Strong
87.7
α
Alpha360 ScoreModerate
64.0
The Jones Nebula

Eight Alpha360 factors, each scored 0 to 100 against every listed stock worldwide. The shape is the investment case at a glance. Understand the scores →

Valuation 63.6 Growth 84.6 Cap. Market Perf. 48.1 Financial Strength 81 Analyst Sentiment 37.6 Earnings Perf. 77.1 Operating Eff. 79.5 Cash Flow Perf. 81.7
Valuation 63.6 Growth 84.6 Cap. Market Perf. 48.1 Financial Strength 81 Analyst Sentiment 37.6 Earnings Perf. 77.1 Operating Eff. 79.5 Cash Flow Perf. 81.7

The Jones Overview

Northern Star Resources (ASX: NST) is a tier-one heavy hitter in the global gold sector, serving as a high-liquidity proxy for the bullion market rooted in safe jurisdictions like Western Australia and Alaska. While corporate marketing heavily spotlights its massive production scale, debt-free balance sheet, and long-life legacy assets like the Kalgoorlie Super Pit, the reality is that the stock faces significant near-term execution and capital allocation friction. The company is locked into a massive, capital-intensive expansion phase - namely doubling its Fimiston mill capacity - which has already driven up all-in sustaining costs (AISC) and triggered consecutive production guidance cuts throughout a turbulent fiscal year. Furthermore, an aggressive campaign by activist investor Elliott Management has forced a major board shake-up, turning a straightforward gold play into an active battleground over corporate strategy. Ultimately, NST is an operational execution story masquerading as a macro hedge: if the incoming management team successfully delivers on its infrastructure milestones against a backdrop of elevated gold prices, the stock is poised for massive returns; if inflationary bottlenecks drag out or project delays persist, its premium multiple leaves it acutely exposed to margin compression the moment the gold rally cools.

What is NST's share price doing?

1D-0.5% 1W+3.0% 1M+0.7% 3M-5.8% 6M-29.2% 1Y+27.2% 3Y+75.9% 5Y+99.9% ALL+13,050.7%

How does Northern Star Resources Ltd score on Alpha360?

The eight tabs below are the Alpha360 factor scores. Built on decades of academic research, Alpha360 grades Northern Star Resources Ltd from 0 to 100 on each dimension against all listed stocks worldwide, so a reading in the 90s is genuinely top-tier rather than a pass mark, and the Jones Dynamic Score blends all eight into a single number. Each tab gives the score, a read of what it looks like in practice, and the numbers beneath it. Data updated 26 July 2026. General information only.

Valuation
63.6
Moderate

The Alpha360 valuation score weighs price against earnings, book value, cash flow and sales, ranked against all listed stocks worldwide. Northern Star Resources Ltd looks fairly priced against its sector, neither an obvious bargain nor clearly expensive on the measures we weigh. A PEG ratio of 0.54 sits below 1, cheap for the growth on offer.

Multiples

Price / earnings 17.08x
Forward P / E 11.36x
PEG ratio 0.54
Price / book 1.87x
Price / sales 4.29x
Price / free cash flow
EV / sales 4.13x
Enterprise value A$26.52bn

Size & income

Market cap A$27.52bn
Shares outstanding 1.42bn
Dividend yield 2.76%
Dividend / share A$0.55
52W range A$15.30 to A$31.96
Growth
84.6
Very strong

The Alpha360 growth score reads the multi-year trajectory of revenue, earnings and cash flow, rewarding durable compounding over one-off jumps. Revenue, earnings and cash flow have been expanding quickly, which is what you want from a business that is scaling. Growth off a small base can be lumpy, so the real question is how durable it proves. That trajectory is anchored by three-year revenue growth of 19.0%.

Growth rates (3yr)

Revenue growth 19.00%
Net income growth 43.63%
Operating cash flow growth 20.17%
Market cap growth 19.94%

Earnings momentum

EPS momentum (1yr) 3.36%
EPS forecast change (3m) -1.44%
Capital Market Performance
48.1
Average

The Alpha360 capital-market score measures the shares' price strength and momentum against the market. Price performance has been middle of the road, tracking roughly in line with the market. Over the past year the shares are up 29.0%.

Price & momentum

Annual stock return 29.03%
Stock return (6m) -30.19%
Beta 1.60
10-day volume vs avg 0.31x
52W range A$15.30 to A$31.96
Financial Strength
81.0
Very strong

The Alpha360 financial-strength score stress-tests the balance sheet, its leverage, liquidity and capacity to fund itself. The balance sheet is in good shape: modest debt, healthy liquidity and enough of a buffer to fund operations or ride out a downturn without leaning on capital markets. It runs a current ratio of 1.82.

Leverage & liquidity

Debt / equity 11.46
Current ratio 1.82
Quick ratio 1.44
Net debt / EBITDA 0.24
Total debt / assets 7.16%
Cash flow / debt 1.73
Interest coverage 24.26
Market cap / liabilities 5.46
Distress risk (JDS) 87.7 (Very Strong)

Cash runway

Cash runway 143 mo
Monthly cash burn A$11.11m

Balance sheet

Revenue A$6.41bn
Total assets A$20.43bn
Total equity A$14.92bn
Total liabilities A$5.52bn
Total debt A$1.71bn
Net debt A$20.00m
Cash & equivalents A$1.59bn
Working capital A$1.34bn
R&D expense
SG&A expense A$150.70m
Analyst Sentiment
37.6
Weak

The Alpha360 analyst-sentiment score reads the direction of professional ratings, targets and forecasts. Analysts have been cooling on the name, trimming ratings, targets or forecasts.

Analyst coverage, consensus ratings and price targets sit inside the members' view, alongside our own rating on Northern Star Resources Ltd.

Earnings Performance
77.1
Strong

The Alpha360 earnings score grades the quality, consistency and margin of profit, not just its headline size. Earnings are high quality and consistent, with healthy margins, so the profits are dependable rather than one-off. Net profit margin runs at 20.9%.

Margins

Gross margin 35.45%
EBIT margin 32.49%
EBITDA margin 53.87%
Operating margin 30.43%
Net profit margin 20.88%

Quality & returns

Return on equity 11.94%
Return on assets 8.45%
Earnings stability 0.78
EPS surprise 5.20%
Operating Efficiency
79.5
Strong

The Alpha360 efficiency score measures how much profit the business earns on each dollar of capital and revenue. The business turns capital and revenue into profit efficiently, earning strong returns on the money invested in it. Return on equity comes in at 11.9%.

Returns on capital

Return on equity 11.94%
Return on assets 8.45%
Return on capital employed 11.36%
Return on invested capital 10.44%
EBIT / total assets 10.20%

Operating margins

Operating margin 30.43%
EBIT margin 32.49%
Cash flow margin 42.27%
Cash Flow Performance
81.7
Very strong

The Alpha360 cash-flow score gauges the strength and durability of the cash the business actually generates. The business throws off strong, durable cash flow, enough to fund growth, dividends or buybacks without relying on outside capital. Cash flow returns come in at 14.5%.

Cash generation

Cash flow returns 14.46%
Free cash flow -A$133.30m
Free cash flow / share A$-0.09
Operating cash flow / share A$2.46
Cash flow margin 42.27%
Capital expenditure -A$2.29bn

Coverage

Op cash flow growth (3yr) 20.17%
Cash flow / debt 1.73
The method

Every score on this page comes from Alpha360, the eight-factor model built by Professor Stewart Jones from three decades of published academic research, rescored weekly across more than 50,000 listed companies worldwide.

JDS vs. Gold Peers
Ranks 11 of 154 in Gold · ASX rank 115 of 1,760

This stock   Financial Trends Australia covered   Universe

Questions

Common questions about NST

What is Northern Star Resources Ltd's Jones Dynamic Score?
Northern Star Resources Ltd currently scores 87.7 (Very Strong) on the Jones Dynamic Score, ranking 5340 of 51,277 stocks scored globally. The score is recalculated weekly from institutional-grade data.
Is NST profitable?
Yes. Northern Star Resources Ltd reports a net profit margin of 20.9% on the latest data. Return on equity is 11.9%.
Does NST pay a dividend?
Yes. On the latest data Northern Star Resources Ltd pays a dividend with a trailing yield of about 2.8% at the last close.
How does NST compare to its peers?
Ranked by the Jones Dynamic Score, Northern Star Resources Ltd sits 11 of 12 in its Gold peer group. The full peer ranking, with each peer's score, is shown on this page.
Is this personal financial advice?
No. Everything on this page is general information only. It does not take into account your objectives, financial situation or needs, and you should consider whether it is appropriate for you before acting on it. The full General Advice Warning is at the bottom of this page.
What does it cost to see your rating on Northern Star Resources Ltd?
Nothing. Enter your details in the form on this page and our current rating unlocks instantly, along with a free one-on-one walkthrough of the research with our team if you want it. The full written research note is part of membership.
Who builds the scores?
The Jones Dynamic Score and the Alpha360 factor model were built in-house from three decades of academic research. The system scores companies across global markets and is refreshed weekly.
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General Advice Warning. The information provided by Financial Trends Australia is general in nature and does not take into account your personal objectives, financial situation or needs. It does not constitute personal financial advice. Before acting on any information, you should consider its appropriateness having regard to your own objectives, financial situation and needs, and seek independent professional advice. Where the information relates to a financial product, you should obtain and consider the relevant Product Disclosure Statement (PDS) or offer document before deciding to acquire the product. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance. Financial Trends Australia Pty Ltd (ABN 65 091 191 472) is a Corporate Authorised Representative (AR No. 001320926) of MF & Co. Asset Management Pty Ltd (AFSL No. 520442).